Dr. Amy Sliva, a scientist at Charles River Analytics, gave a presentation on threat perception at the European Intelligence and Security Informatics Conference (EISIG), the premier European conference on counterterrorism and criminology. This year’s conference took place in Uppsala, Sweden, in August 2013, and was held jointly with the Workshop on Innovation in Border Control 2013 and the Workshop on Forensic Text Analytics.
“I presented a dynamic game-theoretic simulation system that captures the psychological dynamics of threat perception, modeling the impact of perceived threat on decision-making processes in situations of persistent conflict, such as the Israel-Palestine conflict,” explained Dr. Sliva. “We are interested in understanding how threat is propagated by media and social media and how this influences the choice between negotiation or continued violence, and ultimately hope this simulation can help identify policy interventions that might encourage conflict resolution.”
The paper is titled Threats to Peace: Threat Perception and the Persistence or Desistence of Violent Conflict. Dr. Sliva’s co-authors on the paper are Dr. Glenn Pierce, Dr. Mikhail Malyutov, and Mr. Xin Li, of Northeastern University.